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Forecasts and Drivers of Rising Health Care Costs in 2026

The source provides an extensive overview of the alarming increase in United States health care costs, projecting rises between 6.5% and over 10% for 2026, with some individual plans potentially increasing by as much as 20%. Several key factors are identified as drivers of this inflation, including the growing demand for costly GLP-1 weight loss drugs and the significant expense of specialty medications, particularly biologics and cutting-edge cell and gene therapies. Additionally, the text highlights that chronic health conditions and the nation’s aging population are contributing to higher utilization and greater overall spending. Other elements compounding the issue are rising medical inflation—which is outpacing general inflation—and increased health care labor costs due to shortages, all of which place a substantial financial burden on both employers and employees.

Forecasts and Drivers of Rising Health Care Costs in 2026

The source provides an extensive overview of the alarming increase in United States health care costs, projecting rises from 6.5% to over 10% in 2026 based on multiple surveys from organizations like Mercer and PwC. Key factors driving this trend include the surging popularity and high cost of GLP-1 drugs for conditions like diabetes and weight loss, and the expansion of specialty medications, particularly innovative but expensive cell and gene therapies. Additional contributors to the financial burden are the growing prevalence of chronic health conditions, the increasing demand and costs associated with an aging population, and the rising expenses for cancer care. Finally, the document notes that medical inflation is outpacing general inflation, compounded by a health care labor shortage that translates into higher costs for both employers and employees.