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Forecasts and Drivers of Rising Health Care Costs in 2026

The source provides an extensive overview of the alarming increase in United States health care costs, projecting rises between 6.5% and over 10% for 2026, with some individual plans potentially increasing by as much as 20%. Several key factors are identified as drivers of this inflation, including the growing demand for costly GLP-1 weight loss drugs and the significant expense of specialty medications, particularly biologics and cutting-edge cell and gene therapies. Additionally, the text highlights that chronic health conditions and the nation’s aging population are contributing to higher utilization and greater overall spending. Other elements compounding the issue are rising medical inflation—which is outpacing general inflation—and increased health care labor costs due to shortages, all of which place a substantial financial burden on both employers and employees.